Spring 2004


Special Orders

The Senate and Judicial Nominations

Sheldon Goldman

University of Massachusetts, Amherst

           Individual senators and the Senate institutionally play important roles in determining the makeup of the federal judiciary.  Traditionally, individual senators, particularly those of the president's party from the state where there is a judicial vacancy, have had great influence on presidential administrations in the selection of federal district court judges.  This has been less so for the filling of vacancies on the appeals courts and least for the filling of Supreme Court positions (Goldman 1997, Abraham 1999, Yalof, 1999, Gerhardt 2000).           

           Institutionally, the Senate is required by the U.S. Constitution to give its advice and consent that in practice has meant confirmation by a simple majority of those present and voting on the Senate floor.  Historically, a large majority of all judicial nominations from the Supreme Court down the judicial hierarchy to the appeals courts and district courts have been routinely confirmed (Harris, 1953).  But over the past two decades there has been a slow but steady erosion of the routineness of the process.  Although the large majority of nominees are confirmed (Goldman 2003a), for many nominees the process has become an obstacle course. The unprecedented use of the filibuster to prevent confirmation during the 108th Congress, although used only against a small number of appeals court nominees, has nevertheless colored the current debate on the confirmation process in crisis hues.

           I will first look at judicial selection and confirmation with regard to the Supreme Court and then the lower federal courts.  I will also examine quantitative indicators of obstruction and delay followed by my suggestions for reform.


The Supreme Court

           During the course of American history, nominations to fill vacancies on the Supreme Court typically have been tendered to respected lawyers and judges of the president's party who share the president's ideological, philosophical, and/or partisan orientation (in general see Abraham 1999). Over 9 out of 10 appointees to the Supreme Court have been members of the president's party.

           When Court decisions are seen by a president as important for his agenda, ideology will be a major variable in the selection process. President Franklin D. Roosevelt named to the Supreme Court supporters of the New Deal.  President Ronald Reagan and his immediate successor George Bush sought to appoint conservatives.  President George W. Bush has said he would like to appoint justices in the mold of Antonin Scalia and Clarence Thomas (Bumiller 2002), who along with Chief Justice William Rehnquist occupy the most conservative wing of the Court.

           Historically, there has been geographic representation on the Court, a tradition dating back to the practice of Supreme Court justices literally riding the circuit to sit as circuit judges (a practice lasting through a large part of the nineteenth century).  In modern times, every major section of the country has been "represented" on the Supreme Court.  When President Richard M. Nixon sought to fill the vacancy created by Justice Abe Fortas's resignation from the Court in 1969, he nominated first one southerner, Clement Haynsworth, who was rejected by the Senate and then another southerner, G. Harrold Carswell, who also met defeat on the Senate floor.  Although failing to replace Fortas with a southerner, Nixon eventually succeeded in placing a southerner on the bench, Lewis Powell of Virginia.  Interestingly, Powell's would-be and then eventual replacement were not southerners.  Unless Clarence Thomas is considered a southerner, which he was by birth and childhood but not adult residency, the South has not been represented on the Court since 1987. This fact may play a part in George W. Bush's selection process if he has an appointment opportunity.

           There is some evidence that religious, ethnic, and gender considerations have played or continue to play a part in the selection of Supreme Court justices (Perry 1991).  In the presidential election campaign of 1980, both major party candidates pledged to appoint a woman to the Court.  Ronald Reagan kept his word when in 1981 he appointed the first woman, Sandra Day O'Connor, to the Court.  President Bill Clinton's first of two appointments went to a woman, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, in 1993.  Thus, it is clear that gender representation on the Court is now a given. So, too, with African American representation.  President Lyndon Johnson named Thurgood Marshall in 1967 and when Marshall retired in 1991 President George Bush named Clarence Thomas.  The absence of Hispanic American representation is expected to end with the filling of the next vacancy regardless of who sits in the White House.  If George W. Bush has the opportunity to make the appointment and names a Hispanic who is seen by Democratic senators as a conservative activist, they will undoubtedly wage a spirited fight to bloc confirmation despite what would be the historic nature of the appointment.

           Historically, a significant proportion of Supreme Court nominees have been challenged in the Senate usually for ideological or partisan reasons (Abraham 1999, Gerhardt 2000).  In the nineteenth century, close to one out of three nominees went unconfirmed by the Senate.  In the first two-thirds of the twentieth century, only one Supreme Court nominee was rejected (President Herbert Hoover's nomination of Fourth Circuit Judge John J. Parker). But since 1968 there have been four Senate rejections with three of the four occurring in the 1968-1970 period (in general see Massaro 1990, Silverstein 1994, Watson and Stookey 1995, Maltese 1995, Yalof 1999, Comiskey 2004).

           It has not been unusual for a president to sound out members of the Senate Judiciary Committee and/or the leadership of both parties of the Senate to gauge probable senatorial reaction (Yalof 1999). In fact, this is what President Lyndon Johnson had done before nominating Justice Fortas for the chief justiceship in 1968.  Republican Senate Minority Leader Everett Dirksen offered no objection and Johnson went ahead.  But junior Republican senators and conservative southern Democrats were unhappy with Fortas whom they saw as a liberal activist, and they waged a filibuster that withstood a cloture vote (this would provide a precedent for Democrats some thirty-five years later when opposing several Bush nominees to the appeals courts).  Fortas subsequently withdrew his name for elevation (for details of the complex story see Murphy 1988 chapters 11-23).

           The following year newly elected Richard Nixon exploited a media attack on an ethical lapse by Justice Abe Fortas and succeeded in pressuring him to resign thus creating a vacancy for Nixon to fill (Murphy 1988, chap. 24).  The chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee was a conservative southern Democrat, James O. Eastland from Mississippi, who supported Nixon's choice of Fourth Circuit Judge Clement Haynsworth to replace Fortas.  But most Democrats were unhappy with Haynsworth's conservatism and when seemingly ethical lapses were discovered Haynsworth was ultimately defeated on the floor of the Senate.  So, too, was G. Harrold Carswell, an undistinguished Fifth Circuit appeals court judge with a history of racism whose nomination was seen by some Democrats as an affront to the Senate (in general see Massaro 1990 and Maltese 1995).  The third attempt to fill the vacancy was successful with Harry Blackmun winning overwhelming support.

           There is no evidence that President Ronald Reagan consulted with the Democratic leadership of the Senate in 1987 prior to the nomination of District of Columbia Appeals court Judge Robert Bork to fill the vacancy caused by the retirement of Lewis Powell.  Reagan administration officials might have reasoned that since Bork had been confirmed for his position on the Court of Appeals only several years earlier, he would be confirmed for a seat on the Supreme Court.  But Bork was defeated in the Senate because liberal and moderate senators saw him as a right-wing extremist who refused to recognize a constitutional Right to Privacy including the right of a woman to determine whether or not to abort her pregnancy during her first two trimesters.  The fight over Bork was particularly contentious and the Republican minority in the Senate was extremely bitter about the tactics of their Democratic colleagues and their interest group allies (in general see Gitenstein 1992).  The very public involvement of interest groups in the Bork fight can be seen as a turning point in contemporary confirmation politics.  Although, on occasion, interest or advocacy groups had been involved before in a relative handful of nominations, after the Bork fight these groups became more systematically involved in the process for appointments at all levels of the judiciary, inserting themselves into the nomination and confirmation processes by lobbying and rallying supporters for and against certain nominees (Simon 1992, Gerhardt 2000, Bell 2002, Comiskey 2004, Scherer 2003 and  forthcoming).

           After Bork's defeat by a vote of only 42 votes for and 58 votes against confirmation, President Reagan announced that he would nominate another appellate judge from the District of Columbia circuit, Douglas Ginsburg. But this would-be nomination was scuttled before being sent to the Senate after the press ran stories that Ginsburg had smoked marijuana.  The president turned to a more moderate conservative, Ninth Circuit Appeals Court Judge Anthony Kennedy, who was easily confirmed.

           The first president Bush, working with a Democratic Congress as did President Reagan in his last two years in office, aimed to place on the bench at all levels the most conservative judges who were confirmable.  President Bush correctly saw David Souter as easily confirmable but incorrectly assumed that Souter's conservative background as a New Hampshire Supreme Court Justice and briefly as a judge on the federal First Circuit Court of Appeals would assure his joining the Rehnquist-Scalia wing of the Court. Bush's nomination of the second African American named to the Court to replace the first also seemed to be designed to win confirmation. Although Clarence Thomas's conservatism was expected to raise some controversy, no one in the administration had any inkling that sexual harassment charges would surface and turn an already contentious confirmation battle into a melee (Comiskey 2004, chap. 5; Mayer and Abramson 1994; Phelps and Winternitz 1992; Simon 1992). At first there was considerable debate over Thomas's extreme conservatism coupled with his relatively thin resume. Then explosive sexual harassment charges propelled the nomination to a new level of contention.  The nationally televised hearings on the Thomas nomination riveted the nation with its emphasis on sex and the nomination appeared in grave jeopardy. Eventually Thomas was confirmed by a bare majority of 52 votes.

           President Bill Clinton took great pains when filling vacancies created by the retirements of Byron White and Harry Blackmun to select noncontroversial candidates who could be easily confirmed. He scrupulously consulted key Republican leaders (Hatch 2002, p. 180).  His strategy was successful and his nominations of Ruth Bader Ginsburg in 1993 and Stephen Bryer in 1994 were confirmed by overwhelming majorities.  Furthermore, during its last six years the Clinton administration routinely checked with Senate Judiciary Committee Chair Orrin Hatch before nominating lower court judges. The administration avoided nominating anyone that appeared to be controversial.  Even so, a number of Clinton's lower court nominees ran into trouble with the Republican Senate  (in general, see Goldman and Slotnick 1997, 1999; Goldman, Slotnick, Gryski & Zuk 2001).

           As of early 2004, President George W. Bush has not had an opportunity to name a justice of the Supreme Court.  There has been ongoing speculation as to whom he might nominate and the possible difficulty of the confirmation process. The successful Democratic filibusters in 2003 and 2004 of at least six appeals court nominees is seen by some as a dress rehearsal for a coming battle over a Bush nominee to the Supreme Court assuming that the nominee is seen as a conservative activist.  If that nominee is also Hispanic that may well complicate the battle. Senators from states with large Hispanic populations will no doubt be under pressure to vote to confirm.  If Bush is reelected by a clear majority and brings with him more Republican senators than are now in the Senate, it will be more difficult to sustain a filibuster and easier to vote cloture. The presidential election of 2004 may well go down in history as one of the most important ones for determining the direction of the Supreme Court and the fate of a number of civil liberties precedents that are anathema to the current president and his core supporters.  Yet, whoever is elected president in 2004 would be wise to pay heed to the conclusions drawn from an extensive statistical analysis of Senate roll-call votes on Supreme Court nominations from Earl Warren to Anthony Kennedy:

"When a strong president nominates a highly qualified, ideologically moderate candidate, the nominee passes the Senate in a lopsided, consensual vote. . . . When presidents nominate a less well qualified, ideologically extreme candidate, especially when the president is in a weak position, then a conflictual vote is likely." (Cameron, Cover, and Segal 1990, p. 532 as cited in Carp, Stidham and Manning 2004, p.135)


The Lower Federal Courts

           Appointment to the lower federal courts involves senators not only at the confirmation stage but also with the nomination process (this paragraph is based on findings from: Grossman 1965, Chase 1972, McFeeley 1987, O'Brien 1988, Goldman 1997, Gerhardt 2000).  There are numerous participants at the nomination stage and they include: (1) the president and the office of the White House counsel; (2) officials in the Justice Department -- historically in the attorney general or deputy attorney general's office but more recently out of a special office created by President Ronald Reagan, the Office of Legal Policy (renamed the Office of Policy Development by Bush Sr. but restored to the original name by Bush Jr.); (3) the senators of the president's party from the state where the potential nominee resides, and, if established, a selection commission sponsored by the senators to screen candidates for the federal district courts; (4) the chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee who in recent years has been consulted or informed before nominations are made; (5) members of the House of Representatives from the president's party from the state where the judicial vacancy is to be filled (when there are no senators from the president's party); (6) other party leaders from the president's party including governors and/or mayors of large cities from the state "receiving" the nomination (again where there are no senators from the president's party); (7) advocacy or interest groups that represent the president's core constituency; (8) the American Bar Association's Standing Committee on Federal Judiciary, particularly its chairperson (this was true from the presidency of President Dwight D. Eisenhower until the presidency of George W. Bush who  discontinued the role of the ABA Committee in the nomination process, a role that may well be reinstituted by a new administration); and (9) those who aspire to federal judgeships (and their supporters among the bar and bench) who campaign for a position by contacting the president, their home-state senators and other state party leaders.

           The nomination of any one judge is the culmination of a unique series of interrelated events that propel one person and not another toward the nomination.  Understanding any one particular nomination requires access to a myriad of confidential sources.  No one appointment can be adequately understood without study of the unique transactions involved (Danelski 1964).

           A candidate who has strong home state senatorial backing and the support (or at least no opposition) from state party leaders will typically have the inside track for the nomination.  Before W. Bush's presidency, the ABA Committee rated the leading contender or contenders for the nomination (the names were provided by Justice officials).  Usually (but not always) when the committee indicated that the candidate was not professionally qualified, the   prospective nomination was doomed.  Although President George W. Bush eliminated the ABA from the pre-nomination process, the committee has continued to rate each nominee after the nomination has been announced and sent to the Senate.  The administration, like others before it, evaluates potential nominees in terms of its standards of competency and judicial philosophy.  When there is no consensus as to the nominee for a particular judgeship, justice and White House officials must engage in negotiations with home-state senators and/or party leaders of the president's party.

           The Reagan and G.H.W. Bush administrations were particularly concerned with judicial philosophy and screening out from contention those who did not share the president's judicial philosophy (for examples from presidential papers see Goldman 2003b, pp. 697-703; also see Schwartz 1988).  The Reagan and especially the Bush administrations were also concerned with gender and ethnic diversification of the bench.  President George W. Bush has continued along these lines and has been seen as being even more aggressive in the recruitment of judges philosophically compatible with the administration (Goldman, Slotnick, Gruski, Zuk and Schiavoni 2003).  This has set the stage for contemporary confirmation fights.

           Beginning with the Carter administration, White House involvement in judicial selection through the Office of the White House Counsel became established (Goldman 1997, chap. 7).  That office became increasingly involved with negotiations with senators that by the Clinton administration typically meant that the White House Counsel's office did the major negotiations with senators. The president's Committee on Judicial Selection, a joint White House-Justice Department committee chaired by the White House Counsel, was an innovation of the Reagan administration.  The committee's task has been to oversee the politics of each judicial nomination including negotiations with senators. Reagan, Clinton, Bush 41, and Bush 43 have utilized the committee and it appears to be a permanent judicial selection institution. 

           It is, of course, at the confirmation stage that senatorial involvement is at its peak.  Once a nomination is sent to the Senate it is referred to the Senate Judiciary Committee.  Then, as a matter of routine, the chair of the committee sends "blue slips" to the senators from the nominee's state.  The "blue slip" is a form that officially notifies the senators that the nomination has been received.  The form has a space for the senator's reply.  It also contains the caveat: "Under a rule of the Committee, unless a reply is received from you within a week from this date, it will be assumed that you have no objection to the nomination." In practice, before 1979, a senator who opposed the nominee from his or her state would quietly inform the chair and withhold the blue slip.  The nomination would not be acted on by the committee and would be, in effect, killed (Denning 2002). When Senator Edward Kennedy became chair in 1979, he announced that no longer would a nomination die by failure to return the blue slip.  Instead Kennedy declared that all nominations would be discussed by the full committee who would determine whether or not to hold hearings and proceed with the nomination. 

           In 1981, when Republicans took control of the Senate, Strom Thurmond became chair and indicated he would be more sympathetic to his senatorial colleagues. When the Senate shifted to Democratic hands in 1987, Joseph Biden became chair and suggested that he, too, would abide by the blue slip tradition.  The Senate turned Republican with the election of 1994 and Orrin Hatch took over leadership of the committee, a post he retains as of this writing (when Senator Jeffords left the Republican caucus in 2001, the chair position reverted to Senator Patrick Leahy but after the 2002 election went back to Hatch).  Faced with some Democratic senators opposing some Bush nominees from their states and withholding blue slips or returning them indicating opposition, Senator Hatch announced he would return to the Kennedy policy. This produced a great outcry from Democrats on the committee who understood the Kennedy policy as one designed to prevent a senator from killing a nomination on racist or sexist grounds and not on the ability of the nominee to render fair and impartial justice (Goldman 1997, p. 263).

           When Senator Kennedy became chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee in 1979, he established an investigatory staff for the committee to examine the backgrounds and professional records of the nominees so that the committee would not have to rely on the Justice Department. Kennedy's successor as chair, Senator Thurmond, continued the practice and to this day there are Democratic and Republican investigatory staffs.  These staffs may work with advocacy groups and may target certain nominees.  This appears to have happened in the 1990s with conservative groups opposing some Clinton nominees and more recently with liberal groups opposing some Bush nominees (Goldman 2003b, pp. 717-718, AP 2004).

           In terms of the confirmation process historically, and in general even today, when senators of the president's party from whose state the nominee comes approves the nomination and neither the majority nor minority investigative staffs come up with negative findings, the Judiciary Committee typically votes to recommend confirmation and sends the nomination to the floor of the Senate. Occasionally one or more senators may voice opposition to a nomination on the Senate floor but typically the Senate votes to confirm a nominee recommended by the committee.  Once the nomination is confirmed, the president signs the appointment documents, the individual is sworn into office and begins serving on the federal bench.  Yet the confirmation process has been much in the news for close to a decade with Democrats and Republicans accusing each other of obstruction and delay of judicial nominees. The well-publicized filibusters by Democratic senators in 2003 and 2004 of several Bush nominees to the appeals courts suggest that the confirmation process may not be working well. We turn our attention to this very issue.


Obstruction and Delay in the Confirmation Process

           To understand why the confirmation process has become more contentious, we need to recognize that the trend in judicial selection has been to move away from primarily patronage concerns to concerns about furthering the president's policy agenda through judicial appointments (Goldman 1997, Scherer 2003 and forthcoming).   Since the 1980s, senators have felt free to oppose judicial nominees on policy and judicial philosophical grounds.  Most of that opposition, when it has occurred, has centered around nominees to the courts of appeals.  This was true during the last six years of the Clinton presidency when some Republican senators opposed and either delayed or killed some nominations.  And it has been true with Democratic senators during the presidency of George W. Bush.  

           For the courts of appeals during the last six years of the Clinton presidency, eight nominees waited more than one year from nomination to confirmation.  Another 36 nominees went unconfirmed, 28 of whom did not even receive hearings. A total of 43 nominees were confirmed for a confirmation rate of 54.4% (these figures, like all of the figures in this section, are for lifetime appointments to courts of general jurisdiction).  For the district courts 14 nominees waited over one year from nomination to confirmation while 64 never made it through confirmation (48 of whom had no hearings).  A total of 198 were confirmed for a confirmation rate of 75.6%.

           For the first two years of the George W. Bush presidency, with Democrats in control of the Senate for much of the 107th Congress, it took on average more than nine months to confirm 16 nominees to the appeals courts while 15 remained unconfirmed (12 of whom received no hearings). The confirmation rate for courts of appeals nominees was 51.6%.  For the district courts, it took longer than six months for 16 to be confirmed while 15 had no hearings. A total of 83 were confirmed to the district courts for a confirmation rate of 84.7%.

           Republicans regained control of the Senate with the election of 2002 and the figures during the first session of the 108th Congress reveal that 13 nominees to the appeals courts were confirmed but an additional 19 were unconfirmed (with 10 not having had hearings).  The confirmation rate was 40.6%.  For the district courts, 55 nominees were confirmed but 27 went unconfirmed (17 of whom received no hearings).  The confirmation rate was 67%.  The proportions are considerably lower than for the 107th Congress but might be explained by the several late-in-the session nominations.

           In opposing the Bush nominees, Democratic senators have suggested that their concern is that George W. Bush, like his father and Ronald Reagan before him, is trying to pack the courts with conservative activists.  Such judges, among other concerns, would undermine the rights of women in consultation with their physicians to make medical decisions concerning unwanted pregnancies, weaken the separation of church and state, dilute the rights guaranteed in the Bill of Rights to those accused of crimes, be unsympathetic to the rights of workers and organized labor, weaken the laws and regulations meant to protect the environment, and compromise gender and racial equality (Goldman 2003b, p. 704).

           Republicans counter that it is neither the business of judges to create rights nor to go beyond the intent of the framers.  They contend that liberal judicial activists overlook compelling competing values such as states rights and federalism, the right of a fetus to life, the guarantee of the free exercise of religion, the rights of victims of crimes, the rights of those who own property, and the right to be treated fairly and not be discriminated against by ethnic and gender preference programs (Goldman 2003b, p. 705).

           Ideological warfare between liberal and conservative senators, fueled by advocacy groups since the late 1980s, was especially severe when there was divided government with the White House controlled by one party and the Senate by the other.  Democrats were particularly resentful at how President Clinton's nominees were treated during the last six years of his presidency when Republicans controlled the Senate.  Republicans, in turn, were resentful when Democrats controlled the Senate during the 107th Congress and are furious now that, even with Republican control of the Senate, the Democrats have successfully filibustered the appeals court nominations of Miguel Estrada (who subsequently withdrew his candidacy), Charles Pickering (who was subsequently given a recess appointment by President Bush on January 16, 2004), Priscilla Owen, William Pryor (subsequently given a recess appointment on February 20, 2004), Janice R. Brown, and Carolyn Kuhl and have held up the three nominees from Michigan to the Sixth Circuit.

           The portrait given thus far suggests that the confirmation process has deteriorated in recent years and that the return to unified government may not have improved the situation (in general see Binder and Maltzman 2002; Hartley and Holmes 2002; Martinek, Kemper and Van Winkle 2002).   An objective summary statistic of obstruction and delay is needed to get a better grasp of what actually has been occurring.  Toward that end I have devised an objective summary indicator, the Index of Obstruction and Delay (Goldman 2003a, 2003b) and present the findings in Table One for the district and appeals courts from the 95th Congress through the 108th Congress, first session.


Table One: Index of Obstruction and Delay in the

Senate Processing of District and Appeals Court Nominees

Congress

Years

District Court

Index

Appeals Court

Index

95th

(1977-1978)

0.0000

0.0000

96th

(1979-1980)

0.0750

0.0682

97th

(1981-1982)

0.0000

0.0000

98th

(1983-1984)

0.0545

0.1429

99th

(1985-1986)

0.1364

0.0690

100th

(1987-1988)

0.2800

0.4762

101st

(1989-1990)

0.0488

0.0625

102nd

(1991-1992)

0.3465

0.5000

103rd

(1993-1994)

0.0375

0.0625

104th

(1995-1996)

0.3780

0.5263

105th

(1997-1998)

0.5000

0.6932

106th

(1999-2000)

0.4722

0.7931

107th

(2001-2002)

0.2432

0.8387

108th, 1st Sess.

(2003)

0.2308

0.5600


           Obstruction is defined when no action is taken on a nomination to confirm or reject.  Delay is defined as taking more than 180 days from nomination to confirmation.  The index is determined by the number of nominees who remained unconfirmed at the end of the Congress added to the number for whom the confirmation process took more than 180 days which is then divided by the total number of nominees for that Congress.  When the Senate remained in control by the same party in the subsequent Congress, a renominated individual had the date of the original nomination counted in the calculation of delay.  Also nominations made after July 1 of the second session of each Congress (and also for the first session of the 108th Congress) were not included in the calculations so as not to inflate the index artificially on account of end-of-second-session nominations that realistically would not ordinarily be able to move through the process under an approximately 180 day time frame.  The Index is calculated to four places to the right of the decimal point and thus ranges from 0.0000, which indicates an absence of obstruction and delay, to 1.0000, which indicates the maximum level.

           As suggested in Table One, for the district courts, there were low levels of obstruction and delay until the 100th Congress and that was followed by a further increase in the 102nd Congress.  The same was true for the appeals courts during the 100th and 102nd Congresses whose indexes were even higher than those for the district courts.  Since the Senate of these Congresses was controlled by the Democrats with a Republican in the White House, the Republicans' charge that the Democrats were responsible for initiating the obstruction and delay phenomenon is supported by the objective evidence. But with the situation reversed with a Democrat in the White House and the Republicans in control of the Senate, the evidence clearly shows that the Republicans ratcheted up obstruction and delay with all-time records for the district and appeals courts including the then unprecedented index of 0.8125 for appeals court nominees by the 106th Congress.  Also it should be noted that in every even-numbered Congress (with one exception for the district courts for the 106th Congress), which always overlaps a presidential election year, the index was higher than for the previous non-presidential year Congress.

           The Democrats assumed control of the Senate after the first five months of the 107th Congress with now a Republican in the White House and the Index for the appeals courts reached its highest point for the period analyzed -- 0.8387.  However, the Index for the district courts dropped significantly from the 104th-106th Congresses and was even lower than that for the 102nd Congress.  This appeared to reflect a decision of the Democrats to focus their attention on the appeals courts and to readily expedite almost all of Bush's district court nominees.

           With the Republicans once again in control of the Senate in 2003 and with a Republican still in the White House, we might have expected sharp drops in the index.  For the 108th Congress, first session, the index for the appeals court nominees did indeed fall -- from 0.8387 to 0.5600 -- but the index nevertheless was the highest ever for unified government (at least from the 95th Congress to the present).  This undoubtedly reflects the efforts by the Democrats to use whatever means they have at their disposal including filibusters to obstruct and delay the confirmation process of primarily nominees whom they find objectionable. On the other hand, the index for district court nominees fell slightly from the 107th Congress to 0.2308, but this too was the highest for unified government (from the 95th Congress to the present). Part of the problem for the district court nominees seems to be related to the elimination of the American Bar Association from the pre-nomination process, resulting in the nomination of a few unqualified (by ABA standards) nominees (of the 10 nominees obstructed, 3 were rated "not qualified"; these were the only nominees in the 108th Congress, first session, so rated).  It does not bode well for the confirmation process that the indexes for the first session of the 108th Congress were so relatively high. Divided government had previously been associated with high indexes.  But if obstruction and delay becomes more common under unified government, that could turn what once was a relatively civilized and functional process into what has increasingly become an unpleasant, prolonged, and dysfunctional process.

Is there anything that can be done?

 

Proposals for Reform and Resolution of the Conflict

           First, the Bush administration ought to recognize the legitimacy of the Democrats' complaint that Republican obstructionism kept open vacancies that the Clinton administration by right should have filled.  It is not enough to dismiss this grievance as ancient history or simply payback for the Democrats' actions during the 102nd Congress.  As the Table indicates, the Republicans subsequently took obstructionism to new and sustained levels.   There must be recognition that this has poisoned the atmosphere, and the administration should take the initiative to address these grievances.  At the very least, the administration should name one of the blocked Clinton nominees from Michigan to the Sixth Circuit in return for support of Bush's other Michigan nominees.  The same should be done for the District of Columbia Circuit and even for some district court judgeships.  It is essential to clear the air and to lay old grievances to

rest.

           Second, the Bush administration, in considering people to nominate, should be more sensitive to the likely reactions of the Democrats. President Clinton shied away from those perceived by Republicans as liberal activists (Goldman and Slotnick 1997, 1999; Goldman,Slotnick, Gryski, Zuk and Schiavoni 2003; Hatch 2002).  President Bush, particularly if he is reelected, should aim for more moderate conservatives for all three court levels.  This would surely lessen much of the contentiousness.

      Third, Senate Republicans and Democrats should agree to a permanent change in the confirmation ground rules, either by formal rule change or a Senate resolution, that no matter what party controls the White House and the Senate, the Senate Judiciary Committee will hold hearings on every nominee.  No senator, even from the nominee's state, should be able to prevent the committee from holding a hearing on a nominee.  Of course, the committee can vote not to recommend and even not to send the nomination to the Senate floor. The wishes of home-state senators can be respected by fellow senators at this stage if they so desire. But the Senate Judiciary Committee should do its constitutional duty by voting a nominee up or down.

     Fourth, the Senate Majority Leader should schedule a vote in a timely manner on all nominees sent to the floor by the Senate Judiciary Committee.  By allowing one or more senators to place secret or perhaps not-so-secret holds on nominees, thus delaying perhaps indefinitely a vote, the Senate majority leader (as happened during Clinton's second term) undermines the confirmation process. The Senate should do its constitutional duty and vote to confirm or reject the president's nominees.  If a sufficient number of senators choose to filibuster a nomination, repeated failure to obtain cloture should be recognized as a manifestation of advice and consent. Although it can be argued that this would turn confirmation from a simple majority to confirmation by a supermajority -- 60 votes needed to close off debate -- it should be recognized that the Constitution only mentions advise and consent; there is nothing requiring a simple majority vote for judicial confirmation. Supporters of a nominee who is truly controversial should have to be able to persuade 60 senators that he or she indeed has the judicial temperament to administer justice fairly.

       Fifth, if the Senate fails in its responsibilities by not holding hearings, committee votes, or floor debate, due to the actions of one or a few senators, the president should utilize the check and balance built into the Constitution, that of making recess appointments. Recess appointment of judges was a common practice through the Johnson administration.  Some 300 judges over the course of the nation went on the bench first as recess appointees, including Chief Justice Earl Warren and Associate Justice William Brennan. Of course, they received their appointments not because of a constitutional impasse due to the intransigence of a handful of senators but because it was necessary to have a full strength judiciary and the recess appointment method permitted this.  But there are also some instances in the past when recess appointments were used or contemplated in such impasse situations.  The recess appointment of Thurgood Marshall to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit (racism was the issue) and a few of President Truman's recess appointments come to mind (Goldman 1997). President George W. Bush's recess appointments of Charles Pickering and William Pryor in the face of over 40 Democrat senators' opposition as evidenced by their support of and participation in the filibusters against those nominations although constitutionally permissible is unwise in that it worsens the rift between Democrats and Republicans over the confirmation process.

       Now is an opportune time for reform of the confirmation process to take place.  Republicans are currently in a stronger position than Democrats. They should take the initiative and Democratic leaders should be responsive. Statesmanship and political courage are needed by our political leaders in both branches of government to avert future crises and to reduce the bitterness, contentiousness, and delays that characterize the confirmation process in far too many instances. Sadly, there is no indication that either the White House or the Senate leadership has such vision. While the confirmation process has not broken down, the trends are not encouraging and, indeed, it is not inconceivable that time is running out.


References


AP. 2004.  "Senate Wraps up Judiciary Memo Probe." The Associated Press. March 3, 2004.


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Sheldon Goldman is Professor of Political Science at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst where he has taught since 1965. His books include Picking Federal  Judges (Yale University Press, 1997); Constitutional Law: Cases and Essays (2nd ed., HarperCollins, 1991); The Federal Courts as a Political System, (3rd ed., Harper & Row, 1985),  American Politics and Government (Scott Foresman/Little Brown, 1990) co-authored with Barbara Hinckley; American Court Systems (2nd ed., Longman, 1989) co-authored with Austin Sarat; and Judicial Conflict and Consensus (University of Kentucky Press, 1986) co-authored with Charles Lamb.  He has also authored numerous articles in professional journals including Judicature, the Law and Society Review, the American Political Science Review, Journal of Politics, Polity, Western Political Quarterly, and the Wisconsin Law Review. His professional activities include serving as Chair, Law and Courts Section of the American Political Science Association, 2000-2001, and serving on the editorial boards of several journals. His email address is sheldon.goldman@polsci.umass.edu.

 


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