1. The Security Dilemma Revisited: Theory (moderators Tang & Hermann)
Q: What are the elements of a genuine security dilemma?
Q: How does the security dilemma differ from a security spiral?
Q: What role do non-military factors like history and trade play in aggravating or alleviating the security dilemma?

2. Cross Strait relations, I: Chinese Views (mod. Wu & Fravel)
Q: How does Taiwan threaten China? (Nature of the threat: military or what?)
Q: What motivates CSB? (Q of intentionality: security dilemma or spiral?)
Q: If Ma Yingjiu wins in 2008, how will his demands for Mainland democracy be viewed?

3. Cross Strait relations, II: Taiwan Views (mod. Zhang & Mitchell)
Q: Why aren’t more Taiwanese threatened? (Asymmetry of threat: military and culture)
Q: What motivates Beijing? (Q of intentionality: security dilemma or spiral?)

4. The Taiwan Issue in US-China Relations, I: Chinese Views (moderators Zhu & Twomey)
Q: What motivates US involvement? (Q of intentionality: security dilemma or spiral?)
Q: What will Hu Jintao do if Ma Yingjiu replaces Chen Shuibian, and insists on democracy in the Mainland prior to reunification? How will the CCP and popular nationalist respond?

5. The Taiwan Issue in US-China Relations, II: US Views (mod. Jin & Ross)
Q: What motivates Chinese involvement? (Security dilemma or spiral?)
Q: What are US forecasts for the short term future of Cross Strait relations?
Q: What can we expect from the US if Ma Yingjiu is elected?

6. The Taiwan Issue in US-China Relations: Lessons & Policy Recs (mod. Lennon & Xu)
Q: What can we learn from the security dilemma literature?
Q: What policy recommendations for Beijing and Washington flow from these findings?

Schedule
Tuesday, May 30

day: arrive in Honolulu, check in to Lincoln Hall, on the campus of the University of Hawaii

5:00 PM: Opening banquet, Sarento’s (In the Ilikai Hotel) (meet in Lincoln Hall front lobby for transportation) (toasts by Ambassador Burghardt and Wu Xinbo)

 

Wednesday, 31 May

7:30 AM: Breakfast (outside JAB 4012) Continental Breakfast-Sodexo

8.30 AM: Opening Session: SASD goals; Getting reacquainted (moderator Gries)

9.00-10: Session 1:

The Security Dilemma Revisited: Theory (moderators Tang & Hermann)

Break (Sodexo)

10.20 AM-12.00 Session 2 Cross Strait relations, I: Chinese Views (mod. Wu & Fravel)

Lunch 12-1.00 (Natsunoya) (Lunch downstairs in Lunchroom)

1.00-3 PM: Session 3 Cross Strait relations, II: Taiwan Views (mod. Zhang & Mitchell)

4PM: Tour and Dinner in Waikiki.

(Bus pick up at 4:00 pm; drop off group in Waikiki; Meet at the Kuhio Beach Grill (in the Waikiki Beach Marriott) for a Prime Rib Buffet. Walk across the street for tiki torch lighting and hula show. Bus will pick up at 9:30pm to return to Lincoln Hall)

 

Thursday, 1 June

7:30 Breakfast (Sodexo-outside of JAB 4012)

8.30-10.15 AM: Session 4 The Taiwan Issue in US-China Relations, I: Chinese Views (moderators Zhu & Twomey)

Break

10.30 AM: Session 5 The Taiwan Issue in US-China Relations, II: US Views (mod. Jin & Ross)

Lunch 12-1.00 (Sodexo-lunch room)

1:30-3 PM: Session 6 The Taiwan Issue in US-China Relations: Lessons & Policy Recs (mod. Lennon & Xu)

6:00pm: Closing Banquet (Duc’s Bistro)

 

Friday, 2 June

7:30 AM Breakfast (Sodexo- outside of JAB 4012)

Check out, transportation to airport (Bus or taxis; depending on times of departure)