CF = PAT + DEP |
PAT = PBT (1-TR ) |
PBT = REV - OC - DEP |
CF : Cash Flow
DEP : Depreciation
PAT : Profit after Taxes
PBT : Profit before Taxes
REV : Revenue
TR : Tax rate (use 34%)
OC : Operating Costs.
TCI = FCI + WC |
FCI : Fixed Capital Investment
TCI : Total Capital Investment
WC : Working Capital
FCI = DIRECT COSTS+ INDIRECT COSTS |
Capital needed for the initial operation of the Plant. Raw material and supplies, cash for operating expenses. Typically it is 10-20% of the Total Capital Investment TCI.
TYPE OF ESTIMATE |
BASIS |
ACCURACY |
Order of Magnitude |
Extrapolate Similar Plant Cost |
30% |
Study Estimate |
Knowledge of major pieces of equipment |
~ 30% |
Preliminary Estimate |
Based on Basic Engineering and Estimates. |
~ 20% |
Definitive Estimate |
Based on Basic Engineering and quotes from suppliers and contractors. |
~ 10% |
Detailed Estimate |
Based on Detailed Engineering. |
~ 5% |
In this course we will use Study Estimate as a basis for Flow Sheet Selection and Preliminary Estimates to assess the final cost of the Basic Engineering. It is important you realize what is the margin of error of these estimates.
Table 27 (P&T page 210) gives the percentages that need to be used to estimate the TOTAL PRODUCT COST.
When applying these percentages, make sure that the final number makes sense. For example, one million dollars per year for Research and Development for a Cyclohexane process (a proven technology) does not make sense. Labor costs are also troublesome. Use 0% on interest unless the capital is going to be borrowed.
All costs are calculated using the Equipment Purchase Cost as a basis. I have prepared the following summary Table you can use.
TABLE 4 |
TABLE 17 |
TABLE 26 |
|
DIRECT COSTSOnsite |
|||
Purchased Equipment |
E |
E |
|
Installation |
6-14% FCI |
47 % E |
22-55 % E |
Instrumentation |
2-8% FCI |
18 % E |
6-30 % E |
Piping |
3-20% FCI |
66 % E |
10-80 % E |
Electrical |
2-10% FCI |
11 % E |
10-40 % E |
DIRECT COSTSOffsite |
|||
Buildings |
3-18% FCI |
18 % E |
10-70 % E |
Yard Improvement |
2-5% FCI |
10 % E |
Included in Service Facilities |
Service Facilities |
8-20% FCI |
70 % E |
40-100 % E |
Land |
1-2% FCI |
6 % E |
1-2 % FCI (or 4-8 %E) |
INDIRECT COSTS |
|||
Engineering (ENG) |
4-21% FCI |
33 % E |
5-30 % D |
Construction (CONST) |
4-16% FCI |
41 % E |
Included in Contractor's Fee |
Contractor's Fee |
2-6% FCI |
5 % (DIRECT+ENG+CONST) |
6-30 % D |
Contingency |
5-15% FCI |
10 % (DIRECT+ENG+CONST) |
5-15% FCI |
Start-up |
8-12% FCI |
8-12% FCI |
8-12% FCI |
WORKING CAPITAL |
|||
10-20% FCI |
15% TCI |
10-20% TCI |
A MUST BE DONE Project is a project that has no specific revenue or savings identified.
Examples
How do we calculate a Total Annualized cost for these type of Projects? Easy!!
TAC= AFC + OC |
TAC : Total Annualized Cost
AFC :Annualized Fixed Cost
OC : Operating Costs
For the time being, consider
AFC=FCI/n |
where n is the number of service years expected.
YOU WILL NEED THIS FOR DESIGN LAB: We will cover another formula for this after we cover the time value of money (interest).
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