Nusrat Yussouf

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Nusrat Yussouf

Senior Research Scientist

nusrat_yussouf@ou.edu
nusrat.yussouf@noaa.gov
National Weather Center 4368

Education

PhD, Computer Science, University of Oklahoma
MS, Computer Science, University of Oklahoma
BS, Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology

Affiliated CIWRO Team

Data Assimilation and Modeling

About

Nusrat Yussouf leads the CIWRO Data Assimilation and Modeling Team and serves as the CIWRO Branch Director for the Innovations in Modeling, Prediction, Applications, Communications, and Testbeds (IMPACT) Branch. She is also an Adjunct Associate Professor in the School of Meteorology at the University of Oklahoma. Nusrat’s primary responsibility is advancing NOAA’s Warn on Forecast (WoFS) ensemble modeling system. In this role, she collaborates with scientists from federal agencies and academia, secures external funding, and mentors junior scientists and graduate students.

Research Focus

Multi-scale ensemble data assimilation techniques
Storm-scale analysis and ensemble modeling of hazardous thunderstorms
Emerging observations in NWP models (i.e. PAR, UAS, AERI, MWR, DWL)

CIWRO Research Themes

Mesoscale and Stormscale Modeling R&D

Publications

Stratman, D. R., N. Yussouf, C. A. Kerr, B. C. Matilla, J. R. Lawson, and Y. Wang, 2024: Testing Stochastic and Perturbed Parameter Methods in an Experimental 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System Using NSSL’s Phased-Array Radar Observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 152, 433–454, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-23-0095.1
Martinaitis, S. M., K. A. Wilson, N. Yussouf, J. J. Gourley, H. Vergara, T. C. Meyer, P. L. Heinselman, A. Gerard, K. L. Berry, A. Vergara, J. Monroe, 2023: A Path Toward Short-Term Probabilistic Flash Flood Prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104, E585–E605, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0026.1
Kerr, C. A., B. C. Matilla, Y. Wang, D. R. Stratman, T. A. Jones, and N. Yussouf, 2023: Results from a Pseudo-Real-Time Next-Generation 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System Prototype. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 307–319, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0080.1.
Hu, G., S. L. Dance, R. N. Bannister, H. G. Chipilski, O. Guillet, B. Macpherson, M. Weissmann, N. Yussouf, 2023: Progress, challenges, and future steps in data assimilation for convection-permitting numerical weather prediction: Report on the virtual meeting held on 10 and 12 November 2021. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24, e1130, doi:10.1002/asl.1130.
Skinner, P. S. and Coauthors, 2023: Interpreting guidance from the Warn-on-Forecast System, Part I: Review of probabilistic guidance concepts, product design, and best practices. J. Operational Meteor., 11 (9), 110-131, DOI: https://doi.org/10.15191/nwajom.2023.1109/
Wilson, K. A., N. Yussouf, P. L. Heinselman, A. Orrison, R. Otto, P. S. Skinner, K. Knopfmeier, B. Matilla, and M. Erickson, 2023: The NOAA Weather Prediction Center’s use and evaluation of experimental Warn-on-Forecast System guidance. J. Operational Meteor., 11 (7), 82–94, DOI: https://doi.org/10.15191/nwajom.2023.1107
Heinselman, P. L., and Coauthors, 2023: Warn-on-Forecast System: From Vision to Reality. Wea. Forecasting, 39, 75–95, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0147.1.
Wang, Y., N. Yussouf, E. R. Mansell, B. C. Matilla, R. Kong, M. Xue, V. C. Chmielewsk, 2021: Impact of Assimilating GOES-R Geostationary Lightning Mapper Flash Extent Density Data on Severe Convection Forecast in a Warn-on-Forecast System, Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 3217–3241,https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0406.1
Weber M. E., K. Hondl, N. Yussouf, Y. Jung, X. Wang, T. Schuur, C. Kuster, Y. Wen; J. Sun, J. Keeler, Z. Ying, J. Cho, J. Kurdzo, S. Torres, C. Curtis, D. Schvartzman, J. Boettcher, F. Nai, D. Zrnic, I. Ivic, D, Mirkovic, C. Fulton, J. Salazar, G. Zhang, R. Palmer, M. Yeary, K. Cooley, M. Istok, M. Vincent, 2021: Towards the Next Generation Operational Meteorological Radar Network: Analysis, Demonstration and Risk Reduction to Inform Acquisition Decisions. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102, E1357–E1383, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0067.1
Majumdar S. J., J. Sun, B. Golding, P. Joe, J. Dudhia, O. Caumont, K. C. Gouda, P. Steinle, B. Vincendon, J. Wang, N. Yussouf, 2021: Multiscale Forecasting of High-Impact Weather: Current Status and Future Challenges. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102, E635–E659, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0111.1
Putnam, B., Y. Jung, N. Yussouf, D. Stratman, T. Supinie, M. Xue, C. Kuster, J. Labriola, 2021: The Impact of Assimilating ZDR Observations on Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasts of the 31 May 2013 Oklahoma Storm Event. Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 1919-1942, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0261.1
Clark, A., I. Jirak, B. Gallo, B. Roberts, A. Dean, K. Knopfmeier, L. Wicker, M. Krocak, P. S. Skinner, P. L. Heinselman, K. Wilson, J. Vancil, K. A. Hoogewind, N. Dahl, G. Creager, T. Jones, J. Gao, Y. Wang, E. Loken, M. Flora, C. Kerr, N. Yussouf, S. Dembek, W. Miller, J. Martin, J. Guerra, B. C. Matilla, D. Jahn, D. Harrison, D. Imy, and M. Coniglio, 2021: A Real-Time, Virtual Spring Forecasting Experiment to Advance Severe Weather Prediction, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102(4), E814-E816, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0268.1
Yussouf, N., K. A. Wilson, S. M. Martinaitis, H. Vergera, P. L. Heinselman, and J. J. Gourley, 2020a: The Coupling of NSSL Warn-on-Forecast and FLASH Systems for Probabilistic Flash Flood Prediction, J. Hydrometeorology, 21, 123-141, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0131.1
Yussouf, N., Jones, T. A., and P. S. Skinner, 2020b: Probabilistic High Impact Rainfall Forecasts from Landfalling Tropical Cyclones using Warn-on-Forecast System. Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society., 146, 2050–2065. Stratman, D. R., N. Yussouf, Y. Jung, T. A. Supinie, M. Xue, P. S. Skinner, and B. J. Putnam, 2020: Optimal Temporal Frequency of NSSL Phased-Array Radar Observations for an Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 193-214, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0165.1
Jones, T. A., P. S. Skinner, N. Yussouf, K. Knopfmeier, A. E. Reinhart, X. Wang, K. Bedka, W. Smith Jr., and R. Palikonda, 2020: Assimilation of GOES-16 radiances and retrievals into the Warn-on-Forecast System. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 1829–1859, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0379.1
McFarquhar, G., E. Smith, E. Pillar-Little, K. Brewster, P. Chilson, T. Lee, S. Waugh, N. Yussouf, X. Wang, M. Xue, G. de Boer, J. Gibbs, C. Fiebrich, B. Baker, J. Brotzge, F. Carr, H. Christopherson, M. Fengler, P. Hall, T. Hock, A Houston, R. Huck, J. Jacob, R. Palmer, P Quinn, M Wagner, Yan (Rockee) Zhang, D. Hawk, 2020: Current and future uses of UAS for improved forecasts/warnings and scientific studies. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, E1322–E1328, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0015.1.
Yussouf, N. and K. H. Knopfmeier, 2019: Application of Warn-on-Forecast System for Flash-Flood Producing Heavy Convective Rainfall Events, Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (723), 2385-2403. Hu, J., N. Yussouf, D. Turner, T. Jones and X. Wang, 2019: Impact of Ground-based Remote Sensing Boundary Layer Observations on Short-term Probabilistic Forecasts of a Tornadic Supercell Event, Wea. Forecasting, 34, 1453–1476 https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-18-0200.1
Oliveira, M. I., M. Xue, B. Roberts, L. J. Wicker and N. Yussouf, 2019: Horizontal vortex tubes near tornadoes: three-dimensional structure and dynamics. Atmosphere, 10, 716. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10110716.
Wilson, K. A., J. J. Choate, A. J. Clark, B. T. Gallo, P. L. Heinselman, K. H. Knopfmeier, B. Roberts, P. S. Skinner, and N. Yussouf, 2019: Exploring applications of storm-scale probabilistic Warn-on-Forecast guidance in weather forecasting. Virtual, Augmented and Mixed Reality. Applications and Case Studies. HCII 2019. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, 11575. 557–572.
Jones, T. A., P. S. Skinner, N. Yussouf, K. Knopfmeier, A. E. Reinhart, and D. C. Dowell, 2019: Forecasting high-impact weather in landfalling tropical cyclones using a Warn-on-Forecast system. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100, 1405–1417, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0203.1.
Flora, M. L, P. S. Skinner, C. K. Potvin, A. E. Reinhart, T. A. Jones, N. Yussouf, and K. H. Knopfmeier, 2019: Object-based verification of short-term, storm-scale probabilistic mesocyclone guidance from and experimental Warn-on-Forecast system. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 1721–1739, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0094.1
Lawson, J. R., J. S. Kain, N. Yussouf, D. C. Dowell, D. M. Wheatley, K. H. Knopfmeier and T. A. Jones, 2018: Advancing from Convection-allowing NWP to Warn-on-Forecast: Evidence of progress. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 599-607, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-17-0145.1
Supinie, T., N. Yussouf, Y. Jung, M. Xue and J. Cheng, 2017: Comparison of the Analyses and Forecasts of a Tornadic Supercell Storm from Assimilating Phased Array Radar and WSR-88D Observations. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1379-1401. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-16-0159.1
Zhuang Z., N. Yussouf and J. Gao, 2016: The Analyses and Forecasts of 24 May 2011 Oklahoma Tornadic Supercell Storms using Ensemble of 3DVAR System. Advances in Atmospheric Science, 33, 544-558. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-015-5072-0
Yussouf, N., J. S. Kain, and A. J. Clark, 2016: Short-term Probabilistic Forecasts of the 31 May 2013 Oklahoma Tornado and Flash Flood Event Using a Continuous-Update-Cycle Storm-scale Ensemble System Wea. Forecasting, 31, 957–983. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0160.1
Yussouf, N., D. C. Dowell, L. J. Wicker, K. H. Knopfmeier, D. M. Wheatley, 2015: Storm-scale Data Assimilation and Ensemble Forecasts for the 27 April 2011 Severe Weather Outbreak in Alabama. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 3044–3066. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00268.1
Wheatley, D., N. Yussouf, D. J. Stensrud, 2014: Ensemble Kalman Filter Analyses and Forecasts of a Severe Mesoscale Convective System Using Different Choices of Microphysics Schemes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 3243–3263. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00260.1
Yussouf, N., J. Gao, D. J. Stensrud, G. Ge, 2013: The Impact of Mesoscale Environmental Uncertainty on the Prediction of a Tornadic Supercell Storm Using Ensemble Data Assimilation Approach. Advances in Meteorology, 2013, 1–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/731647
Yussouf, N., E. R. Mansell, L. J. Wicker, D. M. Wheatley, and D. J. Stensrud, 2013: The Ensemble Kalman Filter Analyses and Forecasts of the 8 May 2003 Oklahoma City Tornadic Supercell Storm using Single and Double Moment Microphysics Schemes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 3388–3412. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-12-00237.1
Stensrud, D. J., L. J. Wicker, M. Xue, D. Dawson, N. Yussouf, D. Wheatley, T. A. Jones, C. Potvin, T. Lei, N. Snook, Y. Jung, M. C. Coniglio, E. Mansell, T. Thompson, T. Smith, K. Kuhlman and H. Brooks, 2013: Progress and Challenges with Warn-on-Forecast. Atmos. Res. 123, 2-16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2012.04.004
Wheatley, D. M., D. J. Stensrud, D. C. Dowell, N. Yussouf, 2012: Application of a WRF Mesoscale Data Assimilation System to Springtime Severe Weather Events 2007–09. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 1539–1557.https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00106.1
Yussouf, N., and D. J. Stensrud, 2012: Comparison of Single-parameter and Multi- parameter Ensembles for Assimilation of Radar Observations using the Ensemble Kalman Filter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 562-586. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-10-05074.1 Yussouf, N., and D. J. Stensrud, 2010: Impact of Phased Array Radar Observations over a Short Assimilation Period: Observing System Simulation Experiments Using Ensemble Kalman Filter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 517-538. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009MWR2925.1
Stensrud, D. J., N. Yussouf, D. C. Dowell, M. C. Coniglio, 2009: Assimilating surface data into a mesoscale model ensemble: Cold pool analyses from spring 2007. Atmos. Res., 93, 207-220. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2008.10.009
James, K. A., D. J. Stensrud, N. Yussouf, 2009: Value of Real-Time Vegetation Fraction to Forecasts of Severe Convection in High-Resolution Models. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 187-210. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008WAF2007097.1
Yussouf, N., and D. J. Stensrud, 2008: Reliable Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts from a Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting System during the 2005-2006 Cool Season. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 2157–2172. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007MWR2314.1
Yussouf, N., and D. J. Stensrud, 2007: Bias-Corrected Short-Range Ensemble Forecasts of Near Surface Variables During the 2005/06 Cool Season. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1274–1286. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007WAF2007002.1
Stensrud, D. J., and N. Yussouf, 2007: Reliable Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts from a Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting System. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 3–17. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007MWR2314.1
Stensrud, D. J., N. Yussouf, M. E. Baldwin, J. T. McQueen, J. Du, B. Zhou, B. Ferrier, G. Manikin, F. M. Ralph, J. M. Wilczak, A. B. White, I. Djlalova, J. W. Bao, R. J. Zamora, S. G. Benjamin, P. A. Miller, T. L. Smith, T. Smirnova, M. F. Barth, 2006: The New England High-Resolution Temperature Program. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 491-498. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-87-4-491
Yussouf, N., and D. J. Stensrud, 2006: Prediction of Near Surface Variables at Independent Locations from a Bias-Corrected Ensemble Forecasting System. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 3415-3424. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR3258.1
Stensrud, D.J., and N. Yussouf, 2005: Bias-corrected short-range ensemble forecasts of near surface variables. Meteorol. Appl., 12, 217-230. https://doi.org/10.1017/S135048270500174X
Yussouf, N., D. J. Stensrud, S. Lakshmivarahan, 2004: Cluster analysis of multimodel ensemble data over New England. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2452-2462. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2004)132<2452:CAOMED>2.0.CO;2
Stensrud, D.J., and N. Yussouf, 2003: Short-range ensemble predictions of 2-m temperature and dewpoint temperature over New England. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 2510-2524. https://doi.org/10.1175/15200493(2003)131<2510:SEPOMT>2.0.CO;2

Conference presentations

Yussouf, N., Y. Wang, L. Reames, and T. A. Jones, 2024: Impact of Assimilating Observations from Uncrewed Aerial Systems in Warn-on-Forecast System, 30th Severe Local Storms Conference, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Yussouf, N., J. Tweedie, Y. Wang, T. Bell, 2024: Impact of Assimilating Uncrewed Aerial Systems Observations in NOAA National Severe Storm Laboratory’s Warn-on-Forecast System, 8th WMO Workshop on the Impact of Various Observing Systems on Numerical Weather Prediction and Earth System Prediction.
Yussouf, N., Y. Wang, D. Dowell, C. Kerr, D. Stratman, 2023: Towards the Development of Sub-km Scale Warn-on-Forecast System at NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory, 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)/20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes, Madison, WI.

Social media contact

Linked In: nusrat-yussouf-677837164
Google Scholar: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=XJKP_vYAAAAJ&hl=en